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Part¡¡Thirteen
Chapter¡¡1
THE¡¡COMBINATION¡¡of¡¡causes¡¡of¡¡phenomena¡¡is¡¡beyond¡¡the¡¡grasp¡¡of¡¡the¡¡human¡¡intellect¡£¡¡But¡¡the¡¡impulse¡¡to¡¡seek¡¡causes¡¡is¡¡innate¡¡in¡¡the¡¡soul¡¡of¡¡man¡£¡¡And¡¡the¡¡human¡¡intellect£»¡¡with¡¡no¡¡inkling¡¡of¡¡the¡¡immense¡¡variety¡¡and¡¡complexity¡¡of¡¡circumstances¡¡conditioning¡¡a¡¡phenomenon£»¡¡any¡¡one¡¡of¡¡which¡¡may¡¡be¡¡separately¡¡conceived¡¡of¡¡as¡¡the¡¡cause¡¡of¡¡it£»¡¡snatches¡¡at¡¡the¡¡first¡¡and¡¡most¡¡easily¡¡understood¡¡approximation£»¡¡and¡¡says¡¡here¡¡is¡¡the¡¡cause¡£¡¡In¡¡historical¡¡events£»¡¡where¡¡the¡¡actions¡¡of¡¡men¡¡form¡¡the¡¡subject¡¡of¡¡observation£»¡¡the¡¡most¡¡primitive¡¡conception¡¡of¡¡a¡¡cause¡¡was¡¡the¡¡will¡¡of¡¡the¡¡gods£»¡¡succeeded¡¡later¡¡on¡¡by¡¡the¡¡will¡¡of¡¡those¡¡men¡¡who¡¡stand¡¡in¡¡the¡¡historical¡¡foreground¡ªthe¡¡heroes¡¡of¡¡history¡£¡¡But¡¡one¡¡had¡¡but¡¡to¡¡look¡¡below¡¡the¡¡surface¡¡of¡¡any¡¡historical¡¡event£»¡¡to¡¡look£»¡¡that¡¡is£»¡¡into¡¡the¡¡movement¡¡of¡¡the¡¡whole¡¡mass¡¡of¡¡men¡¡taking¡¡part¡¡in¡¡that¡¡event£»¡¡to¡¡be¡¡convinced¡¡that¡¡the¡¡will¡¡of¡¡the¡¡hero¡¡of¡¡history£»¡¡so¡¡far¡¡from¡¡controlling¡¡the¡¡actions¡¡of¡¡the¡¡multitude£»¡¡is¡¡continually¡¡controlled¡¡by¡¡them¡£¡¡It¡¡may¡¡be¡¡thought¡¡that¡¡it¡¡is¡¡a¡¡matter¡¡of¡¡no¡¡importance¡¡whether¡¡historical¡¡events¡¡are¡¡interpreted¡¡in¡¡one¡¡way¡¡or¡¡in¡¡another¡£¡¡But¡¡between¡¡the¡¡man¡¡who¡¡says¡¡that¡¡the¡¡peoples¡¡of¡¡the¡¡West¡¡marched¡¡into¡¡the¡¡East£»¡¡because¡¡Napoleon¡¡willed¡¡they¡¡should¡¡do¡¡so£»¡¡and¡¡the¡¡man¡¡who¡¡says¡¡that¡¡that¡¡movement¡¡came¡¡to¡¡pass¡¡because¡¡it¡¡was¡¡bound¡¡to¡¡come¡¡to¡¡pass£»¡¡there¡¡exists¡¡the¡¡same¡¡difference¡¡as¡¡between¡¡the¡¡men¡¡who¡¡maintained¡¡that¡¡the¡¡earth¡¡was¡¡stationary¡¡and¡¡the¡¡planets¡¡revolved¡¡about¡¡it£»¡¡and¡¡the¡¡men¡¡who¡¡said¡¡that¡¡they¡¡did¡¡not¡¡know¡¡what¡¡holds¡¡the¡¡earth¡¡in¡¡its¡¡place£»¡¡but¡¡they¡¡did¡¡know¡¡that¡¡there¡¡were¡¡laws¡¡controlling¡¡its¡¡motions¡¡and¡¡the¡¡motions¡¡of¡¡the¡¡other¡¡planets¡£¡¡Causes¡¡of¡¡historical¡¡events¡ªthere¡¡are¡¡not¡¡and¡¡cannot¡¡be£»¡¡save¡¡the¡¡one¡¡cause¡¡of¡¡all¡¡causes¡£¡¡But¡¡there¡¡are¡¡laws¡¡controlling¡¡these¡¡events£»¡¡laws¡¡partly¡¡unknown£»¡¡partly¡¡accessible¡¡to¡¡us¡£¡¡The¡¡discovery¡¡of¡¡these¡¡laws¡¡is¡¡only¡¡possible¡¡when¡¡we¡¡entirely¡¡give¡¡up¡¡looking¡¡for¡¡a¡¡cause¡¡in¡¡the¡¡will¡¡of¡¡one¡¡man£»¡¡just¡¡as¡¡the¡¡discovery¡¡of¡¡the¡¡laws¡¡of¡¡the¡¡motions¡¡of¡¡the¡¡planets¡¡has¡¡only¡¡become¡¡possible¡¡since¡¡men¡¡have¡¡given¡¡up¡¡the¡¡conception¡¡of¡¡the¡¡earth¡¡being¡¡stationary¡£
After¡¡the¡¡battle¡¡of¡¡Borodino£»¡¡and¡¡the¡¡taking¡¡and¡¡burning¡¡of¡¡Moscow£»¡¡historians¡¡consider¡¡the¡¡most¡¡important¡¡episode¡¡of¡¡the¡¡war¡¡of¡¡1812¡¡to¡¡be¡¡the¡¡movement¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Russian¡¡army¡¡from¡¡the¡¡Ryazan¡¡to¡¡the¡¡Kaluga¡¡road¡¡and¡¡to¡¡the¡¡Tarutino¡¡camp£»¡¡the¡¡so¡­called¡¡oblique¡¡march¡¡behind¡¡Krasnaya¡¡Pahra¡£¡¡Historians¡¡ascribe¡¡the¡¡credit¡¡of¡¡this¡¡stroke¡¡of¡¡genius¡¡to¡¡various¡¡persons£»¡¡and¡¡dispute¡¡to¡¡whom¡¡it¡¡is¡¡rightfully¡¡due¡£¡¡Even¡¡foreign£»¡¡even¡¡French¡¡historians£»¡¡admit¡¡the¡¡genius¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Russian¡¡generals¡¡when¡¡they¡¡mention¡¡this¡¡flank¡¡march¡£¡¡But¡¡why¡¡military¡¡writers£»¡¡and¡¡others¡¡following¡¡their¡¡lead£»¡¡assume¡¡this¡¡oblique¡¡movement¡¡to¡¡be¡¡a¡¡project¡¡profoundly¡¡planned¡¡by¡¡some¡¡one¡¡person¡¡for¡¡the¡¡deliverance¡¡of¡¡Russia¡¡and¡¡the¡¡overthrow¡¡of¡¡Napoleon¡¡it¡¡is¡¡very¡¡difficult¡¡to¡¡see¡£¡¡It¡¡is¡¡difficult¡¡in¡¡the¡¡first¡¡place¡¡to¡¡see¡¡wherein¡¡the¡¡profound¡¡wisdom¡¡and¡¡genius¡¡of¡¡this¡¡march¡¡lies£»¡¡for¡¡no¡¡great¡¡intellectual¡¡effort¡¡is¡¡needed¡¡to¡¡guess¡¡that¡¡the¡¡best¡¡position¡¡for¡¡an¡¡army£»¡¡when¡¡not¡¡being¡¡attacked£»¡¡is¡¡where¡¡supplies¡¡are¡¡most¡¡plentiful¡£¡¡And¡¡every¡¡one£»¡¡even¡¡a¡¡stupid¡¡boy¡¡of¡¡thirteen£»¡¡could¡¡have¡¡guessed¡¡that¡¡the¡¡most¡¡advantageous¡¡position¡¡for¡¡the¡¡army¡¡in¡¡1812£»¡¡after¡¡the¡¡retreat¡¡from¡¡Moscow£»¡¡would¡¡be¡¡on¡¡the¡¡Kaluga¡¡road¡£¡¡And¡¡so¡¡one¡¡cannot¡¡understand£»¡¡in¡¡the¡¡first¡¡place£»¡¡what¡¡conclusions¡¡led¡¡the¡¡historians¡¡to¡¡see¡¡some¡¡deep¡¡wisdom¡¡in¡¡this¡¡man£¿uvre¡£¡¡Secondly£»¡¡it¡¡is¡¡even¡¡more¡¡difficult¡¡to¡¡understand¡¡why¡¡the¡¡historians¡¡ascribe¡¡to¡¡this¡¡man£¿uvre¡¡the¡¡deliverance¡¡of¡¡Russia¡¡and¡¡the¡¡overthrow¡¡of¡¡the¡¡French£»¡¡for£»¡¡had¡¡other¡¡circumstances¡¡preceded£»¡¡accompanied£»¡¡or¡¡followed¡¡it£»¡¡this¡¡flank¡¡movement¡¡might¡¡as¡¡well¡¡have¡¡led¡¡to¡¡the¡¡destruction¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Russian¡¡army¡¡and¡¡the¡¡deliverance¡¡of¡¡the¡¡French¡£¡¡If¡¡the¡¡position¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Russian¡¡army¡¡did£»¡¡in¡¡fact£»¡¡begin¡¡to¡¡improve¡¡from¡¡the¡¡time¡¡of¡¡that¡¡march£»¡¡it¡¡does¡¡not¡¡at¡¡all¡¡follow¡¡that¡¡the¡¡improvement¡¡was¡¡caused¡¡by¡¡it¡£
That¡¡oblique¡¡march¡¡might¡¡have¡¡been¡¡not¡¡simply¡¡of¡¡no¡¡use£»¡¡it¡¡might¡¡have¡¡led¡¡to¡¡the¡¡destruction¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Russian¡¡army£»¡¡but¡¡for¡¡the¡¡conjunction¡¡of¡¡other¡¡circumstances¡£¡¡What¡¡would¡¡have¡¡happened¡¡if¡¡Moscow¡¡had¡¡not¡¡been¡¡burnt£¿¡¡If¡¡Murat¡¡had¡¡not¡¡lost¡¡sight¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Russians£¿¡¡If¡¡Napoleon¡¡had¡¡not¡¡remained¡¡inactive£¿¡¡If£»¡¡as¡¡Bennigsen¡¡and¡¡Barclay¡¡advised£»¡¡the¡¡Russians¡¡had¡¡given¡¡battle¡¡near¡¡Krasnaya¡¡Pahra£¿¡¡What¡¡would¡¡have¡¡happened¡¡if¡¡the¡¡French¡¡had¡¡attacked¡¡the¡¡Russians¡¡when¡¡they¡¡were¡¡marching¡¡behind¡¡Pahra£¿¡¡What¡¡would¡¡have¡¡happened¡¡if¡¡later¡¡on¡¡Napoleon£»¡¡on¡¡reaching¡¡Tarutino£»¡¡had¡¡attacked¡¡the¡¡Russians¡¡with¡¡one¡­tenth¡¡of¡¡the¡¡energy¡¡with¡¡which¡¡he¡¡had¡¡attacked¡¡them¡¡at¡¡Smolensk£¿¡¡What¡¡would¡¡have¡¡happened¡¡if¡¡the¡¡French¡¡had¡¡marched¡¡to¡¡Petersburg£¿¡¡¡­¡¡On¡¡any¡¡of¡¡these¡¡hypotheses£»¡¡the¡¡oblique¡¡march¡¡might¡¡have¡¡led¡¡to¡¡ruin¡¡instead¡¡of¡¡to¡¡safety¡£
The¡¡third¡¡point£»¡¡most¡¡difficult¡¡of¡¡all¡¡to¡¡understand£»¡¡is¡¡that¡¡students¡¡of¡¡history¡¡seem¡¡intentionally¡¡to¡¡refuse¡¡to¡¡see¡¡that¡¡this¡¡march¡¡cannot¡¡be¡¡ascribed¡¡to¡¡any¡¡one¡¡man£»¡¡that¡¡no¡¡one¡¡foresaw¡¡it¡¡at¡¡any¡¡time£»¡¡that£»¡¡like¡¡the¡¡retreat¡¡to¡¡Fili£»¡¡the¡¡man£¿uvre¡¡was£»¡¡in¡¡reality£»¡¡never¡¡conceived¡¡of¡¡by¡¡any¡¡one¡¡in¡¡its¡¡entirety£»¡¡but¡¡arose¡¡step¡¡by¡¡step£»¡¡incident¡¡by¡¡incident£»¡¡moment¡¡by¡¡moment¡¡from¡¡a¡¡
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