《e8东的信 _作者: 美 沃伦·巴菲特》

下载本书

添加书签

e8东的信 _作者: 美 沃伦·巴菲特- 第39节


按键盘上方向键 ← 或 → 可快速上下翻页,按键盘上的 Enter 键可回到本书目录页,按键盘上方向键 ↑ 可回到本页顶部!
今年我们新增5;000万美元以上的套利案只有斥资7;600万美元投资100万股Allegis,目前的市价约为7;800万美元。
o We had two other large holdings at yearend that do not fit precisely into any of our five categories。 One was various Texaco; Inc。 bonds with short maturities; all purchased after Texaco went into bankruptcy。 Were it not for the extraordinarily strong capital position of our insurance panies; it would be inappropriate for us to buy defaulted bonds。 At prices prevailing after Texaco's bankruptcy filing; however; we regarded these issues as by far the most attractive bond investment available to us。 
我们在年底还有其它二个主要的投资组合不在前述五个范围之内,一项是Texaco短期债券,全都是在它破产之后才买进,要不是因为我们旗下保险公司的财务实力雄厚,我们实在不太适合去买这种已发生问题的债券,不过以这些债券在Texaco倒闭后的低廉价格,这是目前我们可以找得到最吸引我们的投资标的。
On a worst…case basis with respect to the Pennzoil litigation; we felt the bonds were likely to be worth about what we paid for them。 Given a sensible settlement; which seemed likely; we expected the bonds to be worth considerably more。 At yearend our Texaco bonds were carried on our books at 104 million and had a market value of 119 million。 
考量其所牵涉的诉讼案件,在最坏的情况之下,我们认为应该还是可以将投资成本回收,而若是官司可以和解收场,我们预期债券的价值将会更高,截至年底Texaco债券在我们帐面上的成本约为一亿美元,目前的市值则约为1。2亿美元。
By far our largest … and most publicized … investment in 1987 was a 700 million purchase of Salomon Inc 9% preferred stock。 This preferred is convertible after three years into Salomon mon stock at 38 per share and; if not converted; will be redeemed ratably over five years beginning October 31; 1995。 From most standpoints; this mitment fits into the medium…term fixed…ine securities category。 In addition; we have an interesting conversion possibility。 
在投资银行业,我们当然没有特殊的远见能够预知其未来发展的方向与获利能力,就产业特性而言,投资银行业比起我们其它主要投资的行业更难预测,这也是为什么我们选择以可转换特别股的方式投资。
We; of course; have no special insights regarding the direction or future profitability of investment banking。 By their nature; the economics of this industry are far less predictable than those of most other industries in which we have major mitments。 This unpredictability is one of the reasons why our participation is in the form of a convertible preferred。
当然我们对于所罗门公司的CEO …John Gutfreund的能力与品格有不错的印象,查理与我都很尊崇且信赖他,我们是在1976年开始认识他,当时他在协助GEICO汽车保险免于破产的命运时出了不少力,之后我们看到他好几次引导客户免于愚蠢的交易,虽然这使得所罗门因此损失许多顾问费收入,这种以客户服务至上的表现在华尔街并不多见。
What we do have a strong feeling about is the ability and integrity of John Gutfreund; CEO of Salomon Inc。 Charlie and I like; admire and trust John。 We first got to know him in 1976 when he played a key role in GEICO's escape from near…bankruptcy。 Several times since; we have seen John steer clients away from transactions that would have been unwise; but that the client clearly wanted to make … even though his advice provided no fee to Salomon and acquiescence would have delivered a large fee。 Such service…above…self behavior is far from automatic in Wall Street。 
如同查理在50页上所陈述的理由,截至年底我们将在所罗门公司的投资价值定在面额的98%,大约比我们的投资成本少1;400万,不过我们仍然相信这家公司在高品质资本筹募与市场创造营运,将可为我们的投资创造不错的盈余,若果真如此,我们可转换为股权的权利将会非常有价值。
For the reasons Charlie outlines on page 50; at yearend we valued our Salomon investment at 98% of par; 14 million less than our cost。 However; we believe there is a reasonable likelihood that a leading; high…quality capital…raising and market…making operation can average good returns on equity。 If so; our conversion right will eventually prove to be valuable。 
最后关于我们有价证券的投资再补充两点,第一照例我还是给诸位一个提醒,相较于去年底的持股内容,我们现在的投资组合又有变动,而且在没有知会大家的情况下,还会继续变动。
Two further ments about our investments in marketable securities are appropriate。 First; we give you our usual warning: Our holdings have changed since yearend and will continue to do so without notice。 
这二点跟前面也有相关,跟前几年一样,在1987年媒体不时在猜测我们进出的投资标的,这些报导有时是真的,有时是半真半假,有时根本就不是事实,有趣的是,我发现媒体的规模与声誉和报导的真实性一点相关都没有,曾经有一家全美举足轻重的媒体杂志刊登一项完全错误的谣言,另外一家出版业者则将一桩短期的套利投资误当做是一项长期的投资, (之所以没有公布名字,是因为古有名训,遇到整桶整桶买墨水的人,最好不要跟他发生争吵)
The second ment is related: During 1987; as in some earlier years; there was speculation in the press from time to time about our purchase or sale of various securities。 These stories were sometimes true; sometimes partially true; and other times pletely untrue。 Interestingly; there has been no correlation between the size and prestige of the publication and the accuracy of the report。 One dead…wrong rumor was given considerable prominence by a major national magazine; and another leading publication misled its readers by writing about an arbitrage position as if it were a long…term investment mitment。 (In not naming names; I am observing the old warning that it's not wise to pick fights with people who buy ink by the barrel。) You should understand that we simply don't ment in any way on rumors; whether they are true or false。 If we were to deny the incorrect reports and refuse ment on the correct ones; we would in effect be menting on all。 
大家应该知道我们从来不会对任何的谣言加以评论,不管是真或是假,因为若是我们否认不实的报导,或是拒绝对真实的事件发表评论,都等于间接表达了我们的立场。
In a world in which big investment ideas are both limited and valuable; we have no interest in telling potential petitors what we are doing except to the extent required by law。 We certainly don't expect others to tell us of their investment ideas。 Nor would we expect a media pany to disclose news of acquisitions it was privately pursuing or a journalist to tell his petitors about stories on which he is working or sources he is using。 
在现在这个社会,大型的投资机会相当的稀少且弥足珍贵,除非法令特别要求,我们不可能向潜在的竞争对手透露我们的动向,就像我们也不可能期待对手告诉我们他的想法,同样地我们也不期待媒体能够揭露他们独家采访得到的购并消息,就像是一个记者不可能向他的同业透露他正在努力追踪的独家新闻。
I find it unfortable when friends or acquaintances mention that they are buying X because it has been reported … incorrectly … that Berkshire is a buyer。 However; I do not set them straight。 If they want to participate in whatever Berkshire actually is buying; they can always purchase Berkshire stock。 But perhaps that is too simple。 Usually; I suspect; they find it more exciting to buy what is being talked about。 Whether that strategy is more profitable is another question。 
我特别觉得很不高兴,当我的朋友或是旧识告诉我说他们买进X公司的股票,因为报纸错误地报导说Berkshire已经买进这家公司的股票,不过后来我发现事情没有那么单纯,他们会买的原因主要是因为这些股票实在太热门,至于是否能够真正获利则是另外一回事。
Financing
财务方面
Shortly after yearend; Berkshire sold two issues of debentures; totaling 250 million。 Both issues mature in 2018 and will be retired at an even pace through sinking fund operations that begin in 1999。 Our overall interest cost; after allowing for expenses of issuance; is slightly over 10%。 Salomon was our investment banker; and its service was excellent。 
在年度结束后不久,Berkshire发行了两期的债券,总共的金额是2。5亿美元,到期日皆为2018年并且会从1999年开始慢慢分期由偿债基金赎回,包含发行成本在内,平均的资金成本约在10%上下,负责这次发行债券的投资银行就是所罗门,他们提供了绝佳的服务。
Despite our pessimistic views about inflation; our taste for debt is quite limited。 To be sure; it is likely that Berkshire could improve its return on equity by moving to a much higher; though still conventional; debt…to…business…value ratio。 It's even more likely that we could handle such a ratio; without problems; under economic conditions far worse than any that have prevailed since the early 1930s。 
尽管我们对于通货膨胀抱
小提示:按 回车 [Enter] 键 返回书目,按 ← 键 返回上一页, 按 → 键 进入下一页。 赞一下 添加书签加入书架